My group had a meeting on friday to clarify a few things about the assessment tasks. We all agreed that our initial driver of changes were too complicated and perhaps too internally linked: when we were came to imagine a future scenarios, there were so much confusions hence we decided to meet up and change it. After much deliberation over a list of driver of changes, we decided on depletion of environmental resources and a split in socioeconomic status. I think it was a  good choice as when we started to discuss what was to go in the quadrant, there were so many things that we could think of and most of them have research to back up.  It was a really efficient work session and we all worked really well with each other.

These were what we brainstormed together for further research on each quadrant:

HIGH DEPLETION OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESOURCES:
-Decrease in resources (timber, coal,minning live stock,gas)
-Increase in prices of rare commodity (petrol,water,gas,electricity,food,)
-Dramatic in price since large companies would control resources
-Detrimental ramifications on animal wildlife
-Polluted world- decrease air quality, over pollution within the atmosphere
-Legislaive political schemes such as rationing resources.
-Increase in technological advancements in sustainable technologies.
-Shift in political and international alliances- effecting trading , imports and exports.
-Possible revolt or warfare due to other countries economic gain from pre-existing abundance of resources
-Outbreak of disease especially in less developed countries
-Giant companies will buy out small competitors since they have greater financial needs

LOW DEPLETION OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESOURCES:
– Less developed countries will prosper
– Increase in agriculture, science, infrastructure, health, economy)
– Prosperity in small/local business due to abundance if resources
– Countries would become more technologically advanced as to control the resources whilst still being able to preserve the environment
– New and alternate technologies would be implemented to generate a more eco-friendly and sustainable means particular resources, eg; power, electricity and water

HIGH SPLIT IN SOCIECONOMIC:
-More prejudice, racism,
-Increase in violence, crime, riots, death rate
-Significant cultural divides
-Greater need for law enforcement- increase in government expenditure increase in tax
-Cultural segregation

LOW SPLIT IN SOCIOECONOMIC:
-Increase in multiculturalism, unity
-Decrease in poverty, tension
-Equal representation within politics
-Designer and luxury goods would suffer due to loss of appeal.
-Communistic society because it will be a classless and stateless society.

Further Research: 

In my quadrant, there is a high depletion of environmental resources and a high split of socioeconomic status. Particularly focussing on the area of high depletion of environment resources in this post; there is an interesting series on national geographic called Alaska’s Last Oil. The series explores, in its own overview’s term from the website:

‘The world is addicted to oil. But now the easy pockets of oil are gone and the race is on to find new sources. Nowhere is the battle more intense than in Alaska – source of nearly 15% of America’s domestic production, and home to the nation’s largest wildlife preserve, the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge, where companies are pushing to drill. EXPLORER travels back millions of years to see how oil was created, and looks to the future to ask how far we’ll go to find every last barrel and at what cost.’

The series displays the beginning of what is an extreme in my quadrant and i think that this is a good starting point to see what society are willing to do in order to get to the resource that is a commodity in helping with imaging the future scenario in more depth.

Read more: http://channel.nationalgeographic.com/series/explorer/3105/Overview#tab-Overview#ixzz1QT1syqZC

Polar bears feeding on abandoned whale bones.

 

 

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